{"id":7179,"date":"2026-11-03T18:41:39","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T18:41:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/?p=7179"},"modified":"2026-11-03T18:41:39","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T18:41:39","slug":"major-update-on-early-voting-in-texas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/?p=7179","title":{"rendered":"Major Update On Early Voting In Texas\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Texas Republicans received an early voting estimate Wednesday showing their party ahead by nearly 100,000 modeled ballots.<\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-2\">\n<div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"2039495\" data-uid=\"0b1e3\">\n<div id=\"mgw2039495_0b1e3\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Election analyst E DataGuy published an October 21 graphic tracking 731,837 early and mail ballots across the state.<\/p>\n<p>The model assigned 410,232 ballots to Republicans and 311,560 to Democrats, and 5,016 separately.<\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-3\">\n<div data-type=\"_mgwidget\" data-widget-id=\"2039496\" data-uid=\"00de6\">\n<div id=\"mgw2039496_00de6\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Its estimated Republican advantage reached 98,672 ballots, a figure the analyst labeled the modeled firewall.<\/p>\n<p>The graphic described Republicans as the current leaders and estimated final statewide turnout at 55 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Its projected Republican vote range extended from 53 to 59 percent, compared with 39 to 45 percent Democratic.<\/p>\n<p>Those percentages are the analyst\u2019s projections, not official results or verified votes for either Senate candidate.<\/p>\n<p>Texas does not register voters by political party, making partisan classifications of early ballots inherently uncertain.<\/p>\n<p>The model\u2019s methodology was not provided in the screenshot, limiting independent evaluation of its assumptions.<\/p>\n<p>The statewide Senate contest pits Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton against Democratic state Representative James Talarico.<\/p>\n<div class=\"twitter-tweet twitter-tweet-rendered\"><iframe id=\"twitter-widget-0\" class=\"\" title=\"X Post\" src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/embed\/Tweet.html?dnt=false&amp;embedId=twitter-widget-0&amp;features=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%3D%3D&amp;frame=false&amp;hideCard=false&amp;hideThread=false&amp;id=2113032581662876007&amp;lang=en&amp;origin=https%3A%2F%2Fconservativebrief.com%2Fvoting-texas-senate-midterm-105325%2F&amp;sessionId=08a3271d4ab330624337d1311301df47b8cb1030&amp;theme=light&amp;widgetsVersion=6a3ad42b224df%3A1778106238597&amp;width=550px\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\" data-tweet-id=\"2113032581662876007\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Both campaigns are seeking support from voters concerned about living expenses, immigration, and government priorities.<\/p>\n<p>Talarico has focused on affordability and criticism of wealthy political donors influencing campaigns.<\/p>\n<p>Early voting began October 19, giving Texans additional opportunities to participate before November 3.<\/p>\n<p>An independent tracker identified 647,083 in-person ballots and 84,754 returned mail ballots.<\/p>\n<p>Republican organizers have emphasized participation in conservative communities, including suburban and rural counties.<\/p>\n<p>The early numbers therefore provide a snapshot, not a guarantee of either candidate\u2019s eventual performance.<\/p>\n<p>The broader Republican campaign enters the final weeks with substantial fundraising resources and spending commitments.<\/p>\n<p>President Trump\u2019s political operation has become a central source of financial support for Republican candidates.<\/p>\n<p>Associated Press reporting found MAGA Inc. spent nearly $277 million since the beginning of September.<\/p>\n<p>The super PAC transferred $200 million to No Going Back PAC and $25 million to Safety and Affordability PAC.<\/p>\n<p>Those affiliated groups have financed advertising supporting Republican candidates in competitive races.<\/p>\n<p>Federal filings showed MAGA Inc. retained well over $164 million on October 14.<\/p>\n<p>The group had started September with nearly $416 million in its accounts.<\/p>\n<p>Those balances represent different dates and should not be combined into a single total.<\/p>\n<p>Trump said his political operation planned to spend well over $400 million by Election Day.<\/p>\n<p>His statement included advertising, voter contact, rallies, and other campaign-related activities.<\/p>\n<p>The president\u2019s announced total is broader than the spending reported by MAGA Inc. alone.<\/p>\n<p>Trump-aligned advertising has included tens of millions of dollars supporting Paxton in Texas.<\/p>\n<p>Major donors to MAGA Inc. include business figures Diane Hendricks, Stephen Schwarzman, and Steve Wynn.<\/p>\n<p>Republican national committees have separately raised money to support candidates and party operations.<\/p>\n<p>The National Republican Congressional Committee reported raising $50 million during the third quarter.<\/p>\n<p>Its September fundraising reached $28.5 million, including a $14 million Republican National Committee transfer.<\/p>\n<p>The House committee entered October with $61 million available, according to its October announcement.<\/p>\n<p>It reported raising $250 million across the election cycle through that reporting period.<\/p>\n<p>Those NRCC resources primarily support House contests, not Paxton\u2019s Senate campaign in Texas.<\/p>\n<p>The National Republican Senatorial Committee and outside organizations maintain separate operations focused on Senate races.<\/p>\n<p>Republican fundraising supports advertising, field organizing, and voter outreach during the campaign stretch.<\/p>\n<p>However, spending later in the election cycle can purchase fewer advertisements as available airtime becomes more expensive.<\/p>\n<p>Democratic organizations also possess significant resources, and individual Democratic candidates have reported strong fundraising totals.<\/p>\n<p>Talarico\u2019s campaign has raised substantial money, underscoring the intensity of competition for the Texas seat.<\/p>\n<p>For now, E DataGuy\u2019s model places Republicans ahead among its estimated early ballot classifications.<\/p>\n<p>Financial strength cannot establish which candidate voters prefer or determine the election result.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Texas Republicans received an early voting estimate Wednesday showing their party ahead by nearly 100,000 modeled ballots. Election analyst E DataGuy published an October 21 graphic tracking 731,837 early and &hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"brizy_media":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7179","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7179"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7179\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7181,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7179\/revisions\/7181"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/watchthenews.store\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}